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Improvement of CAPEX estimation accuracy during early project stages

Authors: M.M. Khasanov, D.A. Sugaipov, A.V. Zhagrin, I.L. Sandler, O.O. Skudar, S.V. Tretiakov, Yu.V. Maksimov (Gazprom Neft LLC, RF, Saint-Petersburg)

Key words: cost estimation, cost engineering, cost model.

In this article represented a route to create tools for improvement CAPEX estimation accuracy on early project stages and effect of estimation accuracy to project realization during concept field design.
References
1. Khasanov M.M., Sugaipov D.A., Ushmaev O.S. et al., Development of cost engineering in Gazprom Neft JSC (In Russ.), Neftyanoe khozyaystvo = Oil Industry, 2013, no. 12, pp. 12–14.
2. Glossariy stoimostnogo inzhenera (Glossary of Cost Engineers),
http://www.aacei.org/
3. AACE International recommended practice no. 17R-97 Cost estimate classification system.
4. SK-01.13.00, Upravlenie krupnymi proektami v oblasti razvedki i dobychi
OAO “Gazprom neft'” (Management of exploration and production large
projects in Gazprom Neft JSC)
5. BHuddharaju P., Laskar S., Samual R., Robust well-cost estimation using a
support vector machine model, SPE 106577. – 2007.
6. Kitchel B.G. et al., Probabilistic drilling-cost estimating, SPE 35990. – 1997.
7. Saibi M., A probabilistic approach for drilling cost engineering and management case study: Hassi-Messaoud oil field, SPE/IADC 107211. – 2007.

Key words: cost estimation, cost engineering, cost model.

In this article represented a route to create tools for improvement CAPEX estimation accuracy on early project stages and effect of estimation accuracy to project realization during concept field design.
References
1. Khasanov M.M., Sugaipov D.A., Ushmaev O.S. et al., Development of cost engineering in Gazprom Neft JSC (In Russ.), Neftyanoe khozyaystvo = Oil Industry, 2013, no. 12, pp. 12–14.
2. Glossariy stoimostnogo inzhenera (Glossary of Cost Engineers),
http://www.aacei.org/
3. AACE International recommended practice no. 17R-97 Cost estimate classification system.
4. SK-01.13.00, Upravlenie krupnymi proektami v oblasti razvedki i dobychi
OAO “Gazprom neft'” (Management of exploration and production large
projects in Gazprom Neft JSC)
5. BHuddharaju P., Laskar S., Samual R., Robust well-cost estimation using a
support vector machine model, SPE 106577. – 2007.
6. Kitchel B.G. et al., Probabilistic drilling-cost estimating, SPE 35990. – 1997.
7. Saibi M., A probabilistic approach for drilling cost engineering and management case study: Hassi-Messaoud oil field, SPE/IADC 107211. – 2007.


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